This AI weather model helped predict 2025’s huge hurricanes
Experts with the NHC recently released their seasonal forecast verification, objectively measuring their intensity and track forecasts against how each tropical storm and hurricane actually unfolded.
They made an impressive discovery.
Across the Atlantic basin, the agency says that the GDMI “slightly outperformed” the NHC’s track forecasts between 12 and 72 hours, and that the AI-powered model had comparable skill to the NHC’s official intensity forecasts.
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Over in the eastern Pacific basin, the NHC stated that “GDMI performed considerably better than all of the other individual models and beat the official forecast and all of the consensus aids” between forecast periods of 48 hours and 120 hours.
Skeptics of AI can rest assured that human forecasters aren’t going anywhere anytime soon. But what could this improvement mean in practical terms?
This new model, and possibly others in development like it, could help to improve forecasts even further heading into the future. Better forecasts may mean more time for communities in harm’s way to prepare for and evacuate ahead of hazardous conditions.
